Central Ohio

Usually with even the slightest chance of a dusting over night I don't call it done, but with this system I will.

As expected, yesterday's precip in Central Ohio fell as mainly rain. Also, precip changed over to snow today, but temperatures never took the tumble that was expected. Instead, winds stayed out of the south all day and kept temperatures around 36, which allowed snow to fall, but not accumulate.

So for this storm, official measurements are 0".

What did come true is that this undershot NWS estimates as expected. I estimated a little under, and it turned out to be a lot under. From observations, here's the current storm totals:



Michigan actually got a decent snow out of this, up to half a foot in some northern locations.

Unlike some systems that come through our area, this storm had the moisture, it just didn't have the artic temperatures. Early estimates have total rainfall a little under half and inch in the past 36 hours, which would have been a nice little winter storm if temperatures were about 10 degrees cooler overall.

Final Storm Observation:
Nothing shocking about this storm. Over hyped by local media to get ratings, and in the end, didn't produce. Any lingering precip should end before midnight.

A Look Ahead:
A ridge should move in tomorrow night allowing temps to rise to the upper 40's Wednesday ahead of another cold front. This front coming out of the upper midwest will bring rain, and maybe a quick shot of snow after it passes. Confidence in any snow is low with this system. Best chance would be with wrap around moisture on Friday, and latest models don't support that right now. This will bring a deep trough through the region and should drop temperatures.

The best chance in the long term appears to be Saturday with a weak clipper coming out of Alberta. The GFS over plays this system indicating ample moisture and plenty low enough temps. I agree with the temps at this point, but not the moisture. I give it a 30% chance right now that we see an inch of snow.

I'll update as the week goes on and these forecast models become better organized.